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AnalysisWeek of Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026

The cNGN record reverted, and the count barely moved

cNGN's transfer volume fell 67.8% a week after its record, while its transfer count fell 2.7%. The whales left and the small transfers stayed, which is what we said the record was. Celo is the one chain that genuinely broadened.

18,612
cNGN transfers

down just 2.7% from 19,121

$56
Average transfer on Base

from $407 last week

8.6x
Celo transfer count

171 to 1,470, at a $214 average

$1.29M
ZARP

up 49%, on 10,064 transfers

A week ago cNGN recorded its highest transfer volume on record, $20.87M, and we said the record was a small number of large movements rather than more people using the token.

This week it did $6,708,757 — down 67.8%.

Its transfer count fell 2.7%, from 19,121 to 18,612.

That is the test, and it answers cleanly. Two-thirds of the value left and the transfers stayed. Whatever moved last week was not the token's user base.

Where the money went

ChainVolume, wk 43Volume, wk 44TransfersAverage
BSC$13,675,604$5,476,6341,068 → 1,297$4,223
Base$7,111,949$871,90417,499 → 15,547$56
Celo$31,069$313,972171 → 1,470$214

Base is the clearest. Its volume fell 88% while its transfer count fell 11%, and its average transfer went from $407 back to $56 — close to the dust baseline it normally sits at. The $407 was a few hundred large transfers sitting on top of tens of thousands of tiny ones. They did not return.

BSC moved more transfers for less money: 1,297 against 1,068, at $4,223 average instead of $12,805. The large-ticket chain is still large-ticket, but the tickets were a third of the size.

What did not revert

Two things we flagged as noise last week disappeared, which is the right outcome:

  • ZARU did $599,111 on 53 transfers last week. This week: $11,350. It was a handful of large movements and nothing more.
  • cNGN on Mento did $88,645 on 3 transfers. This week: $379.

Reporting those with their transfer counts is why neither reads as a collapse now. There was nothing to collapse.

Celo is the one that actually grew

cNGN on Celo went from 171 transfers to 1,470 — 8.6 times as many — at a $214 average, carrying $313,972.

That is the shape of broadening rather than a whale: the count moved by more than the average did, and $214 is neither dust nor desk-sized. It is small, and it is one week, so we are not calling it a trend. It is the only part of cNGN's week that moved in the direction more users would move it.

The rest of the native book

ZARP rose 49% to $1,288,772 on 10,064 transfers, and is now 16% of all native stablecoin transfer volume, against cNGN's 84%. A week ago cNGN was 93%.

Everything else stayed small: cKES $6,058 on 863 transfers, nTZS $3,719, cGHS $2,741 on 1,094 transfers, ZARSC $1,027, eXOF $319, cZAR $2.

cNGN's supply rose to $3,324,502 even as its transfer volume fell by two-thirds — more of the token outstanding, less of it moving.

Method

Transfer volume is on-chain transfers only — event_type 'transfer' — and excludes mints and burns. Measured across the chains where each token is deployed for the ISO weeks of 19–25 October and 26 October – 1 November 2026, valued at the daily rate. Transfer counts are stated beside every volume figure because cNGN's count is dominated by very small transfers: across the 30 days to 25 October, 89% of its transfers carried 0.7% of its volume, and on Base the median transfer was about $1. A chain-level average transfer size is therefore pulled far above the median by a few hundred large movements, and neither the average nor the count on its own describes what the token is doing. Supply is end-of-period circulating supply.

How attribution works →

Cite this

Free to cite with attribution. No embargo, no approval needed.

AfriFlux (2026). The cNGN record reverted, and the count barely moved. Published 2 November 2026. https://www.afriflux.xyz/feed/cngn-record-week-reverted

Reproducing a chart? Use this line: Source: AfriFlux — on-chain intelligence for Africa's stablecoin economy. afriflux.xyz